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UID:pretalx-fireshonks23-9ESTGX@pretalx.c3voc.de
DTSTART;TZID=CET:20231227T160000
DTEND;TZID=CET:20231227T170000
DESCRIPTION:As technological changes including digitalization and AI increa
 se infrastructural capacities to deliver services\, new mass screenings fo
 r low-prevalence problems (MaSLoPPs) appear to improve on old ways of adva
 ncing public interests. Their high accuracy and low false positive rates 
 – probabilities – can sound dazzling. But translating the identical st
 atistical information into frequency formats – body counts – shows the
 y tend to backfire. The common (false positives) overwhelms the rare (true
  positives) – with serious possible consequences. Ignoring this fact is 
 known as the base rate fallacy - a common cognitive bias. Due to pervasiv
 e cognitive biases such as this\, as well as perverse structural incentive
 s\, society needs a regulatory framework governing programs that share thi
 s dangerous structure. This framework must work at the system rather than 
 individual level. It should include better mechanisms for evidence-based p
 olicymaking that holds interventions to basic scientific evidentiary stand
 ards\, and a right to deliberate ignorance where relevant. These solutions
  may help combat perverse incentives and cognitive biases\, mitigating the
  damage from these dangerous programs. But we should expect ongoing sociop
 olitical struggle to articulate and address the problem of likely net dama
 ge from this type of program under common conditions.
DTSTAMP:20260512T035638Z
LOCATION:Fireshonks
SUMMARY:Chat Control: Mass Screenings\, Massive Dangers - Vera Wilde
URL:https://pretalx.c3voc.de/fireshonks23/talk/9ESTGX/
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